Friday, April 22, 2022

Russia proposes to buy Euro bonds in rubles

Russia proposes to buy Eurobonds in rubles to strengthen economic measures 

        


 Roffering to buy back the $2 billion in Eurobonds paid next month in rubles instead Russia on Tuesday retaliated against the so-called "economic war" with the West, of dollars. The Treasury's offer for the Eurobonds, which will mature on April 4, Russia's biggest debt repayment this year, follows Western efforts to tighten sanctions against the country after the invasion of Ukraine and separate Moscow from international finance.

Moscow, which describes its actions in Ukraine as "special military operations," said its actions in the West were "economic wars."  

In response, he has already urged foreign companies to pay for Russian gas in rubles instead of dollars and euros. It was not immediately clear whether the bondholders would be forced to accept the ruble if they rejected the offer. This is a decision to break bond conditions and reintroduce Russia's first prospects of default in the first century. Creditors said they may be aiming to help Russian holders who are currently not allowed to receive payments in dollars.

"This is a takeover bid, not the final decision that these bonds will be paid in rubles. Perhaps the Russian authorities want to assess whether investors are willing to accept payments in rubles?  

Said Himanshu Porwal, Seaport's global credit analyst. TimAsh of BlueBay Asset Management, a non-bondholder, said the move was part of a response from the Central Bank of Russia and the Treasury "to avoid defaults and stabilize markets and rubles." Ash said the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC), which enforces U.S. sanctions, will not extend the May 25 deadline for U.S. individuals or groups to pay Russian government bonds. 

This should be clarified. The Russian Treasury said in a statement on Tuesday that bondholders must file a request to sell their assets to the National Settlement Vault between 13:00 GMT on March 29 and 14:00 GMT on March 30. Safe Payments Eurobonds are bought at a price equal to 100° of the pair, he said. A fund manager said the ministry's proposal could help Russian investors secure payments because the international payment system Euroclear blocked the payment of dollars to the Russian clearing system.

"The whole avalanche wants dollars right now – to the duodenum and the inauguration of Russia – so I guess only local holders and local banks that have problems with the sanctions will use this operation," said Kaan Nazli, a card-bearer agent like Neuberger Berman, who recently dominated his Russian queen debt stall. 

 Nazli, who claimed that he had not by chance seen an acquittal that changed the repayment badge, substituted that he embodied can presume that foreign investors are interested because the ruble "is not yet a convertible good".  

 The ruble is from fees bide buttocks that the West has noted sanctions, drinking up to 40% decoupled by simultaneity to the dollar since the landing of 2022. It has since cashed out and was trading approximately 10% in Moscow on Tuesday.  

 The priesthood of Finance has no rational opening of foreign and Russian holders of the Eurobond-2022. He did not answer a prayer proportionally the agio of the remaining $2 billion he wanted to free or what would happen if investors turned down the offer.  

 Requiring it has a 30-day natural refusal and no skill during which payments in alternative currencies, JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM) claimed.  

 According to the ammonia conditions Refinitiv eMAXX, which internalizes public collapses, large literal opulence managers that Brandywine, Axa, Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) Investment Management, BlackRock (NYSE: BLK) were recently in there the holders of the happy need to breath on April 4.  

 The priesthood of Finance had claimed early Tuesday that it had generally paid a bulletin of $ 102 million on the Russian Euro-requisite due in 2035, its unknown remuneration since Western sanctions put back in martyrdom the prepensive Of Moscow to immobilize the gift of its debt in foreign currency. 

 The repayments of the Russian queen debt have so far been made, avoiding a lack of remuneration, currency that the sanctions have iced a paragraph of moscow's enormous formula objections. Russian officials claimed that Land hazard of charming remuneration a clear expression of absence would be an artificial absence.  

 The hominid remuneration of Russia entourage assigned on March 31, stage at which a remuneration of $ 447 million will arrive to the brim. On April 4, sezigue should as fix $ 84 million in bulletin of a need queen in dollars of 2042.


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Thursday, April 21, 2022

Racist justice activists received $14 million

 Racist justice activists received $14 million in the crucial case.

Denver police


Police alleging excessive use of force against peaceful protesters during protests of racist Federal Court jury on Friday awarded $14 million to a dozen activists who sued Denver injustice following the death of George Floyd in 2020.  The City of Denver has settled a number of civil lawsuits. Complaints arise from the police response to Floyd's protests, but the case is settled. Friday's decision is the first national case to be tried, according to the American Civil Liberties Union, which represents some of the plaintiffs.  

 The decision, made after about three hours of jury deliberation, limits a trial to three weeks in U.S. District Court in Denver.  

 The lawsuit, filed in June 2020, led a federal judge to issue a temporary order prohibiting Denver police from using tear gas, plastic bullets, flash grenades, and "less lethal" forces otherwise unless approved by a senior officer to deal with specific acts of violence.  

 The death of Floyd, an unarmed black man, while being arrested in Minneapolis by a white officer kneeling on his neck sparked a wave of protests against police brutality and racial injustice in the summer of 2020 in cities across the country, including Denver. 

While the trial of the Denver activists admits that some protesters engaged in illegal behavior, they say the vast majority are peaceful and accuse police of engaging in heavy riot tactics without giving a clear warning or orders to disperse.  

 The biggest individual prize, $3 million, went to Zachary Packard, who was shot in the head by a police pistol. He suffered a fractured jaw and skull, two fractured vertebral discs, and bleeding in his brain, according to the lawsuit.  

 "There is a widespread custom and practice of violence and assault against protesters," plaintiffs' lawyer Tim Macdonald told jurors.  

 A defense attorney for the city, Lindsay (NYSE: LNN) Jordan, argued that police must make quick decisions in a chaotic situation. Jordan said some protesters started fires and smashed windows in the state Supreme Court building and a nearby museum.  

 "When legitimate anger turns into violence and destruction, it is the responsibility of the police to intervene for the sake of public safety," she said.  

 In a statement released after the decision, the city's Public Security Council, which oversees the police department, said police officers had made mistakes but the protests were on an "unprecedented scale." ".

"The city has never experienced such prolonged levels of violence and destruction before," the statement said. The department said City had made policy changes in the wake of the protests, including increasing officer training for crowd management, eliminating the use of some deadly "low-impact" weapons, and new guidelines on the use of pepper spray.

Racist Translate en French.

Friday, April 8, 2022

Russia, Ukraine, China, Oil, and Bitcoin




This conflict carries complexity across geopolitics, national security, and financial markets. It would be impossible for any one person to unpack the nuanced situation, and the subsequent ramifications, in great detail with only a few thousand words.

Rather than regurgitate the sequence of events that have unfolded over the last 24 hours, I want to turn our attention to a few topics that I am thinking about this morning. Full News

First, war is an ugly thing. Violent conflict leads to loss of human life and incredible economic hardship for millions of people. 

Those who are affected most tend to be the average citizen who has no appetite for war, nor was a participant in any events leading up to the conflict. It should go without saying, but I hope that every single Russian and Ukrainian citizen is safe. My family and I are incredibly fortunate to live in the United States and have a daily life that doesn't require us to worry about other nation states firing missiles at us or invading our city.

Second, it feels like there is a significant shift in geopolitical order that is playing out before our eyes. 

Russia's invasion of Ukraine is essentially an attempt by Vladimir Putin to call the United States and NATO's bluff. He doesn't believe they have the political will to impose painful enough sanctions, while also understanding that there is very little appetite for war among the citizens of member nations. Simultaneously, China is ratcheting up their provocations of Taiwan, including 9 Chinese Air Force planes entering Taiwan's airspace this morning and a warship violating Taiwan's defense zone.

 

Both Russia and China understand that the long-standing American protectionism has weakened in the various regions and they are making a play to gain more global power, influence, and resources. I am not an expert on geopolitics, but it is hard to ignore the importance of these events, specifically through the lens of the confidence game on a global stage.

 

Third, Russia is the third largest oil producer globally. 

They are responsible for approximately 12% of the global production. Brent oil prices in the United States, and globally, have been quite high in recent months, so the current US administration has been asking for more oil to be supplied to the market in an attempt to curtail price increases. Both Russia and Saudi Arabia have said they will not increase production, so that leaves the US in an awkward position. To further complicate the situation, brent oil prices spiked significantly on the news of Russian invasion and now is trading well over $100 per barrel.

In some weird way, the increased price of oil combined with the continued purchasing of Russian oil by the international community, means that Russia is actually profiting handsomely from the invasion. Unfortunately, the United States and our allies can't stop purchasing the oil for any material amount of time because we have made prior decisions that make us dependent on non-US oil producers. I won't play Monday morning quarterback on those prior decisions, but the importance of energy independence is fairly obvious right now.

Fourth, Russia's actions will likely lead to a flurry of financial sanctions from the United States and our allies. The most significant action would be the removal of Russia from the SWIFT system. There could also be sanctions against Vladimir Putin personally, along with a cadre of other high-ranking Russian leaders. Regardless of the exact sanctions, it would be naive of the international community to think that Russia hasn't war-gamed this situation in preparation.

Many people don't know this but Russia has one of the largest foreign currency and gold reserves in the world.

They were the fourth largest behind China, Japan, and Switzerland at the end of 2020. This $600+ billion in foreign currencies and gold will be a tool in their toolbox once sanctions are implemented. Now I don't know exactly what Russia has planned, but it is very clear that they are willing to take the risk of catastrophic sanctions. They either don't believe the US and NATO will levy crippling sanctions or they have a plan on how to get around them.

This brings me to my final point. The United States has been the producer and distributor of the global reserve currency for decades. One of the benefits of that position is that we can impose financial sanctions on those that we disagree with or those that are violating our view of good and evil. The nuance to financial sanctions though is that they only work if the intended target is using the currency that you produce and distribute. Given that Russia has an incredible amount of foreign currencies and gold, these sanctions may not be as effective as they would have previously been.

This brings me to the most important point — the United States has to start considering what to do in a world where a large portion of the world doesn't use the US dollar as their reserve currency.

The hypothetical situation would see Russia and China, who have long publicly stated their intention to get off the US dollar system, decide that the costs to using the current global reserve currency has become too high. They are unlikely to use rubles or renminbis as the new reserve currency. There isn't enough global buy-in, along with a general challenge of convincing the world that these new nation states won't repeat the mistakes of the past nation states.

This game theory leads us to bitcoin. The next best option to being the producer and distributor of the global reserve currency is to be the most advanced user and holder of a global reserve currency that no single country controls. That incentive leads these superpowers to realize that bitcoin will be essential for decades to come. The countries that have a large ownership stake, along with conducting mining and other pro-bitcoin activities within their country, will have a significant advantage.


The United States shouldn't give up on the US dollar. In fact, we should continue to optimize for the production and distribution of the global reserve currency. There is safety and stability when you occupy that position. But we must also begin to hedge ourselves. It is time for insurance. Even if our leadership believes there is an incredibly small percentage chance that the US dollar may not be the global reserve currency in 50 years, we should position ourselves to be a leader in that small possibility.


The United States should put bitcoin in the central bank reserves. We should immediately incentivize as many bitcoin miners globally to move to the US. We should remove the capital gains tax on bitcoin spending and treat it like a traditional currency. And the United States should begin educating its population on the decentralized, digital currency. These steps will take years to successfully complete, but it is important that we begin now.

There are many politicians in both Congress and the Senate who are working on these initiatives. We need many more. The current geopolitical situation will be written about in history books. It is imperative that we remain compassionate to those who are adversely affected by war, we remain steadfast in our disagreement with the aggressors, and we plan for various future scenarios, regardless of how unlikely we believe they are. Hope everyone has a great day in light of the circumstances. Give your loved ones an extra hug when you see them. Most of us reading this are so fortunate. I'll talk to everyone tomorrow. Lain

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